Blairs most important fundraiser during his premiership Michael Levy once referred to as Lord Cashpoint also has a role in tapping up wealthy donors. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. Amid all that, Sunak didnt cower in the bunker. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK, formerly named Brexit Party, until 6 March 2021. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. Worryingly for Rishi Sunak, only a minority of his own voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led government when it comes to managing the economy. LONDON Labour leader Keir Starmer has chosen Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. In many ways this looks rather like 1996 with Blair and Brown promising Tory-like spending controls and picking fights with the left of the party. Sunaks challenge will be to convince the country that its current problems lie more with global events than his own party, but that will be very, very hard given how strongly people feel about this. Instead, unlike Liz Truss, he prioritised the things where he could begin to shift the dial and build some political capital. February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. . 'A poll the other day had . First poll of 2023 shows Rishi Sunak favourability at -29 . Filter. In my dealings with Gray when I was political secretary, I found her . His Blue Wall rating, meanwhile, remains unchanged from January at -10%. politics . Which will be only too evident as he addresses Labours annual conference next week. Blair and others involved have always claimed there was no connection between the two events. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his strategic patience, according to an ally, when just as the year ended, he took a clear lead over Boris Johnson as the leader people would prefer to have as prime minister. Andrew Fisher, Corbyns former director of policy, said Starmers preference for private donations may backfire. First, it has suggested that Sunak is capable of rebuilding at least some of the reputation for Conservative competence. The politics of selling it was always going to be a much tougher task. But dont underestimate this prime minister, either. Close Blair ally and media entrepreneur Waheed Alli has been appointed by Starmer as the partys head of election fundraising. 27 per cent of people are satisfied with how he is performing in his job while 34 per cent are dissatisfied, for a net approval rating of -6 (accounting for rounding). Either way, were these numbers replicated at a general election you would be looking at a solid Labour majority of 240-260 and only around 100 Conservative MPs in the Commons. But he did an important job this week. He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister: Liz Truss (Conservative Party) or Keir Starmer (Labour Party). The more he engages with people from the City, the more he feels comfortable with the vocabulary and the issues, a department head at an investment bank said. Leadership approval ratings Rishi . The Windsor Framework "gives enough" to end the Stormont stalemate, Sir Keir Starmer believes. The 1997 quip by Mandelson that he was intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich as long as they pay their taxes became something of guiding principle for the last Labour governments fundraising efforts. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage. For one thing, the protocol deal may stumble. Hes a lawyer hes learning his brief.. Starmer has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. Sorting the protocol was a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. Rishi Sunak during prime ministers questions on Wednesday. The protocol deal has not yet been approved. His job approval rating is bumping along at -26. Overall, 57% of all voters support this, rising to 78% of Rishi Sunaks own voters. It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. . Voiced by artificial intelligence. Only England and Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leaders performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Rishi Sunak, leader of the Conservative Party since 24 October 2022 and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 25 October 2022. Dominic Raab's popularity falls to -57 amid bullying inquiry . Rishi Sunak today accused Sir Keir Starmer of "typical political posturing" in a fiery PMQs session. After three years of near-destitution brought on by COVID-19, falling membership numbers and reduced union funding the party is now beginning to look cashed-up. "Labour's poor position today is the result of factors both out of their control and things they should be deeply concerned with.". No Tory leader can simply declare the convulsions of the past seven years over, or announce that from now on, they will be competent and consensual. Time. It includes a job ad for a celebrities and endorsement manager.. X. As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". Sir Keir Starmer will deliver his conference speech today with the party in a commanding position in the polls (Picture: Metro/YouGov) Labour has hit an historic opinion poll high after a . Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs . Its 100-a-month business group the Rose Network has more than 500 members, up from 300 less than three years ago. Sunak also gets to choose the election date. He is not. Alli, reportedly worth upward of 100 million, is plugged into to Londons arts, media and business sets. Lucy Powell described partygate investigator Sue Gray - who plans to join Labour as Sir Keir Starmer's chief of staff - as "impartial" and "really good at her job". The Labour leaders raft of broken promises on key issues likely to be close to the hearts of voters as their living standards collapse risks casting him as unreliable and untrustworthy. Why wont anyone tell me anything?. It also helps that Starmer is the first Labour leader since Blair to do it himself he actually seems to enjoy fundraising.. August 20, 2022 7:00 am (Updated August 21, 2022 9:35 am) Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public - but Sir Keir Starmer's . Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. Johnson was comprehensively outmanoeuvred. Left-wing party members who joined during Corbyns tenure have been fleeing in droves, depriving Labour of desperately needed income to fight the next general election. Plaid Cymru call on Mark Drakeford to sack health minister after damning health board report, Sir Keir Starmer defends appointing partygate investigator Sue Gray as chief of staff, Johnson allies claim partygate was 'a Labour stitch up' after Starmer appoints Sue Gray to top role. For similar reasons, the Enough is Enough movement has recently emerged, demanding pay rises for workers and higher taxes for the rich. Its leader, Sharon Graham, has said of union funding for Labour: Im not sure were getting the best value for it.. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). It was an attempt to turn Starmers weaknesses into strengths. Angela Rayner, the Labour deputy leader, also suggested that Starmer looks too much like a lawyer in public appearances and should put some more welly into his speeches. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. Explore the live extension of our journalism, The wonk's survival guide to the EU Green Deal, Belarusian Nobel Peace Prize winner sentenced to 10 years in jail, Turkeys opposition splits over candidate to fight Erdoan, Germany to Switzerland: We want your tanks, Calculated evil: How Putins forces use war crimes and torture to erase Ukrainian identity, Let us film MPs as they vote, says outgoing Sky News chief, WhatsApp panic stalks Westminster after mass leak of private messages, Why always Matt? It is, admittedly, early days for such speculation. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. Labour leader Keir Starmer's promises to team up with business may unsettle some on the left of his party | Hollie Adams/Getty Images. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . His website and blog can be found at If Starmers mid-year trough was the mathematical product of Johnsons vaccine-induced rise, his end-year breakthrough could be dismissed as the mere reflection of the prime ministers unpopularity but it feels more soundly based than that. Approval ratings for former party leaders, Preferred Prime Minister and Chancellor polling, Question asked for joint approval of Ed Davey & Mark Pack, Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election, Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020present),, Leadership approval opinion polling for United Kingdom general elections, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from November 2022, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from January 2022, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from October 2022, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 23 February 2023, at 02:35. The hire of Alli as chair of campaign financing was a particularly adroit decision, according to several MPs and party officials. Labour MPs and party officials say the fundraising operation is far more professionalized than at any other point during Labours last 13 years in the wilderness. The latest news, data and analysis on the worlds pandemic response. He is very much, here is the problem and this is the solution. Keir Starmer. UK ; About ; For business . Speaking alongside Blair-era Minister Peter Mandelson at a business roundtable in late January, Starmer said he wanted to extract as much as I can from you, have a really grown-up conversation, and also for you to see that it is possible to mold, have your fingerprints on what were doing, two people presenttold POLITICO. Now all the polls are reporting not just that Labour is in the lead but that people would rather have Starmer as prime minister than the incumbent. The appetite for a more radical approach to the Tory government has been highlighted by the rapid rise of Mick Lynch, leader of the striking Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers union (RMT). 2023 "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. 2021 Associated Newspapers Limited. How Sir Keir Starmer's Labour would run a government From 'wealth' taxes to net zero, this is how the would-be PM may act should his party's huge opinion poll lead see them through an election Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. While their lead of 9% in the Blue Wall represents a slight one-point narrowing in comparison to the end of last month, the partys lead over the Conservatives has altogether grown during February by two points in the Red Wall and by six points nationally. If you had said the morning after the 2019 election Labour could be back in one term, people would have laughed at you. Some 55% of people polled said they were dissatisfied with the Prime Minister, compared to 49% in December. He has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. A People Polling poll for GB News, conducted on February . No one was ever charged with any wrongdoing. This takeover of party machinery has crucially extended to the partys finances and fundraising efforts. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. The prime minister suddenly hit real unpopularity in the last month of the year. Having dealt with the party machinery at the last conference, the plan was always that the next one will focus on setting out our plans for Britain. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. None of this means Sunak is suddenly the effective and successful leader that the Tory party has lacked for so long. That amounts to a 10% swing to Labour since the election. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers on the continent. Energy prices have begun to ease. Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer at the Platinum Pageant for the Queen in London. It is something Blair spoke about a lot, not having the first idea what he was doing when he got through the door. New polling shows that Muslims in the UK are losing faith in the Labour Party, driven partly by unfavourable views towards leader Keir Starmer. People in Britain, generally, are much more cynical about big money influencing politics, he warned. But the signs are that there will be little enthusiasm for a Labour Party led by him as a replacement. Yet Keir Starmer's 'mission statement' last week managed something that nearly all speeches from those in his job - including most of his own - fail to achieve: broadly favourable and widespread coverage of his core message that Labour is a government . He was at the center of a police investigation into the so-called cash for honors scandal in 2006, which saw claims that seats in the House of Lords were being offered in exchange for large unregistered loans to the Labour Party. There is also majority support for helping the more than 600,000 people on benefits to have to meet with a work coach to help them back into the labour market. Labours leads range from a yawning 31-point gap in our GB poll on the NHS (that lead representing a one-point gain from late January) to a relatively narrow four-point lead over the Conservatives in the Blue Wall as the party most trusted to manage the economy (32% to 28%, down from a 35% to 25% lead in our last Blue Wall Poll of January). A survey of party members in March this year found that Tony Blair was just as popular with them as Jeremy Corbyn. At the same time, the Governments net competency rating is up in both the Red Wall and the Blue Wall, by three points to -35% in the Red Wall and by two points to -36% in the Blue Wall, respectively. neutral role in the civil service would come at a time when Labour holds a strong lead over the ruling Conservatives in opinion polls and as Starmer sets out his vision and policy priorities for Britain ahead of a . He urged those in the session to make sure that as we go into that election and hopefully the other side of that election, we are saying the right thing in the right way about what we can achieve.. All rights reserved. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. Combined with his purges of the Labour left, including Corbyn, using antisemitism as the pretext, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK of any substance. Nobody wants to see industrial action that is disruptive.. Team Starmer will be watching the next few opinion polls very closely. And further underscoring how divorced she is from the public mood, Truss intends to reverse a planned rise in what is a historically low rate of corporation tax. The National Anthem will be sung at the start of the Labour Party conference next weekend, for the first time in recent memory (h/t @BBCBenWright), Saying Im not ideological, Starmer told BBC Breakfast over the summer: Weve reversed those 2019 manifesto positions because we needed to show the country that were credible, were responsible on the economy.. Political Monitor. Instead, she has frozen record high fuel bills, but it is taxpayers, not business, who will face the burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs further down the road. Last modified on Thu 2 Mar 2023 08.43 EST. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. - Miriam Burrell 5h. Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party is out of touch with public opinion, poll has found. The Labour leader said he is glad the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is taking time to consider . I find the best way to judge the . Only England and Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. Approval in the Blue Wall is no better, with the Governments approval on immigration down by one point to -44%, although it has improved its rating on the economy (-33%, +5), and the NHS (-49%, +2) since January. Starmer has ensured that the two dominant parties in Britain, like those in the United States, are both unapologetically of capital. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. But worse, in colluding with the narrative of the Tories and establishment media, he has made a dirty word of socialism of any kind. And in refusing to countenance any dissent from within Labour, or entertain any meaningful pluralism in its ranks - starkly illustrated by his approaches both to support for Nato and the monarchy - he has echoed not only the rights agenda but its authoritarian instinctstoo. Rather than proposing investment, as previous Labour leaders have done, he has preferred to turn the tables on the Tories, accusing them ofrelying on a magic money tree. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . He could hardly have been in a weaker position than he was when he took over as Tory leader in October. In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. The Partygate investigator Sue Gray is a likely candidate to be Keir Starmer's chief of staff, as the Labour leader searches for a veteran civil . Starmer, he said, was making catastrophic errors, creating a punch-up with our own side. The DUP is divided about how to respond, and enjoys the feeling of having Sunaks future in its hands. One month ago he was on -3 in the equivalent BMG poll and in June the number of people who were satisfied was the same as those dissatisfied. Keir Starmer is delighted she is hoping to join our preparations for government and our mission," the spokesperson said. The Tories have remained persistently behind Labour throughout the summer and currently stand on 32 per cent of the vote with Labour on 42 per cent, according to BMG. Previous iterations contained Liz Truss and Jeremy Hunt, Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng, and Keir Starmer and Anneliese Dodds. But Levys comeback is not free of controversy. Jeremy Corbyn approval rating . When Starmer was running for leader, many of his supporters expressed how important it was that he looked like a prime-minister-in . Nevertheless, this week highlighted some early if incomplete signs that Sunak is starting to change the Tory party. The breach with Rayner was serious, and would continue to be for the rest of the year, but she was no threat to Starmers position as leader. Even Blairs former manager for high value fundraising Vanessa Bowcock is back in a similar role in Starmers office. Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while, though the union remains fragile in the longer term. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. Government approval on all three issues has risen in the Red Wall, recovering from a particularly bad poll in late January to now stand at -27% on the economy (+14), -41% on the NHS (+13), and -40% on immigration (+7). In addition to leading a party with a commanding position in our voting intention polls, Starmer himself holds healthy approval ratings in all our tracker polls. Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. Our one rule for them framing is paying off, said the source, with Johnson proving it to be true time and again. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? Collapse. Starmers popularity has actually fallen back slightly, with a net of -6, compared with a neutral satisfaction score in June this year. It was the year of three prime ministers and four chancellors. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. Starmer is determined to beat the Tories at their own game, vowing to fight the election on economic growth. Politics. Sunak has had luck along the way. On the eve of his big speech, Keir Starmer showed his frustration at being constantly compared with two of his predecessors - Jeremy Corbyn and Tony Blair - and declined to say to which of them he was closer. As people increasingly see through Johnsons bluster and feel the impact of his lack of decisions, weve created space to show that Keir is the serious politician needed for post-pandemic Britain., To keep up to speed with all the latest opinions and comment sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter by clicking here. Prof Goodwin said: Keir Starmers Labour Party continues to hold a strong lead when it comes to managing the economy, which is also the most important issue for voters. These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. about 1 month ago . Not only is Labour considered a strong favorite to win the next election, but the moderate Labour right faction is now in firm control of the party an unthinkable position just a few years ago when the Corbynite left looked unassailable. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. Jacob Rees-Mogg has joined in with the chorus of Tories trying to undermine Sue Gray 's report, after her new appointment as Keir Starmer's chief of staff - but his own words have now come . Copyright 2014 - 2023. Not least, he has shredded the pledges he made during his campaign for the Labour leadership, policy commitments he sold Labour members as evidence he would serve as the continuity candidate for his left-wing predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. And Ipsos MORI has Starmer 13 points ahead, while other pollsters also show him outperforming his party. Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. Given all of this, it would be simply astonishing if Starmer werent leading in the polls. Estimated Reading Time: 3-5 minutes. Starmer is ahead in best PM polling. . I want our volunteers and staff to have the best pamphlets and resources and information possible, they said. Changes of this kind are not like electoral on-off switches. Keir Starmer is finally ahead in the polls but at what cost? 10. His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. Recent polls also suggest the party has a clear double-digit lead in the 23 June byelection in Wakefield, the type of seat it will need to win back if it hopes to win a majority or form the government at the next election. Sorting the protocol was in that category, a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. The Labour leader has made a dirty word of socialism and shown that his own word counts for nothing. He has become the voice of a new populist grassroots politics filling the void on the left created by Starmers all-too visible absence. March 2, 2023. in News. Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, speaks at the National Farmers' Union (NFU) conference in Birmingham, UK, on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. A poll by YouGov last week revealed 51% of voters say they would vote for Labour in a general election, with just 23% of people saying they would vote Tory. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. Polls indicate the Tories still lag behind Labour in national opinion . Of course, the Conservative Party will take evasive action, up to and including changing leader, before the next election, but we can now see that Labours doom and gloom about Starmers anti-charisma and Johnsons Teflon qualities were overdone. burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK, Palestinian and socialist groups further sidelined as Labour email comes to light, UK: Oxford students report racial profiling at event hosting Israeli ambassador. Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player. Even some Tory rebels were baffled by Starmers performance, saying it had helped Johnson regain some stability after the confidence vote. The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leader's favour - vindicating his 'strategic patience'. sims 4 functional hospital bed, does meijer sell alcohol on sunday in ohio,